Saturday, February 28, 2015

Economic Survey 2014-15 Highlights PDF

A day before Prime Minister Narendra Modi government's first full Union Budget, the Economic Survey has been tabled in Parliament on 27 February 2015 by Finance Minister Arun Jaitley. It has highlighted that the Indian economy would grow by more than 8 percent in the 2015-16 fiscal year. Following are the highlights of Economic Survey 2014-15:

* GDP growth seen at 8.1–8.5 per cent in 2015-16
* Double digit growth trajectory; 8–10 per cent GDP in coming years
* Inflation shows declining trend during April-December
* Current Account Deficit (CAD) to decline to about 1 per cent in 2015-16
* To adhere to fiscal deficit target of 4.1 per cent of GDP; to aim for 3 per cent
* Committed to fiscal consolidation; to enhance revenue generation
* More reforms on anvil; Goods and Services Tax, expanding direct benefit transfers to be game-changers
* Foodgrains production for 2014-15 estimated at 257.07 million tonnes; will exceed last 5-year average by 8.5 million tonnes
* NITI Aayog, 14th Finance Commission to enhance fiscal federalism
* External Sector returning to strength, resilience
* Need balance between ‘Make in India’ and ‘Skilling India’
* Services sector negotiations at WTO crucial for India in removing many market access barriers
* Revitalise PPP model to revive investment
* Manufacturing and services equally important for growth
* Consumer inflation in 2015-16 to be between 5-5.5%
* Lower inflation opens up space for more monetary easing
* There is scope for big bang reforms
* Labour, capital, land, market reform and skills to be engines of growth
* JAM Trinity — Jan Dhan Yojana, Aadhaar, Mobile — to help transfer of funds to poor without leakage
* Shield domestic industry to promote ‘Make In India’
* Borrowings to fund investment, not for meeting expenses
* Food subsidy bill in April-Jan up 20% to Rs. 1.08 lakh cr
* Reform Railway’s structure, commercial practices, overhaul of technology
* Public investment key growth engine in short-run for Railways, but not a substitute for private investment
* More disinvestments on the anvil in current fiscal
* Under-recoveries on petroleum products to come down to Rs. 74,664 crore in 2014-15, from Rs. 1.39 lakh crore in FY14
4Ds — Deregulation, Differentiation, Diversification, Disinter (better bankruptcy laws) — to push financial sector growth
* Implementation of GST to boost GDP, exports
* Suggests medium to long term fiscal policy to target deficit, expenditure
* Global commodity prices to remain weak in 2015
* Ecommerce sector to witness 50% growth in 5 years

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