A day before Prime Minister Narendra Modi
government's first full Union Budget, the Economic Survey has been tabled in
Parliament on 27 February 2015 by Finance Minister Arun Jaitley. It has
highlighted that the Indian economy would grow by more than 8 percent in the
2015-16 fiscal year. Following are the highlights of Economic Survey 2014-15:
* GDP growth seen at 8.1–8.5 per cent in
2015-16
* Double digit growth trajectory; 8–10 per
cent GDP in coming years
* Inflation shows declining trend during
April-December
* Current Account Deficit (CAD) to decline
to about 1 per cent in 2015-16
* To adhere to fiscal deficit target of 4.1
per cent of GDP; to aim for 3 per cent
* Committed to fiscal consolidation; to
enhance revenue generation
* More reforms on anvil; Goods and Services
Tax, expanding direct benefit transfers to be game-changers
* Foodgrains production for 2014-15
estimated at 257.07 million tonnes; will exceed last 5-year average by 8.5
million tonnes
* NITI Aayog, 14th Finance Commission to
enhance fiscal federalism
* External Sector returning to strength,
resilience
* Need balance between ‘Make in India’ and
‘Skilling India’
* Services sector negotiations at WTO
crucial for India in removing many market access barriers
* Revitalise PPP model to revive investment
* Manufacturing and services equally
important for growth
* Consumer inflation in 2015-16 to be between
5-5.5%
* Lower inflation opens up space for more
monetary easing
* There is scope for big bang reforms
* Labour, capital, land, market reform and
skills to be engines of growth
* JAM Trinity — Jan Dhan Yojana, Aadhaar,
Mobile — to help transfer of funds to poor without leakage
* Shield domestic industry to promote ‘Make
In India’
* Borrowings to fund investment, not for
meeting expenses
* Food subsidy bill in April-Jan up 20% to Rs.
1.08 lakh cr
* Reform Railway’s structure, commercial
practices, overhaul of technology
* Public investment key growth engine in
short-run for Railways, but not a substitute for private investment
* More disinvestments on the anvil in
current fiscal
* Under-recoveries on petroleum products to
come down to Rs. 74,664 crore in 2014-15, from Rs. 1.39 lakh crore in FY14
4Ds — Deregulation, Differentiation,
Diversification, Disinter (better bankruptcy laws) — to push financial sector
growth
* Implementation of GST to boost GDP,
exports
* Suggests medium to long term fiscal
policy to target deficit, expenditure
* Global commodity prices to remain weak in
2015
* Ecommerce sector to witness 50% growth in
5 years
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